Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 4.929171 5.774490 6.679396 7.715616 8.864774 10.095627 11.509065
2025-11-09 3.505986 4.601163 5.867057 7.419607 9.253172 11.330844 13.843589
2025-11-16 2.594107 3.802541 5.304360 7.263324 9.705192 12.603576 16.256363
2025-11-23 1.959251 3.204618 4.864061 7.154519 10.148697 13.845875 18.666890
2025-11-30 1.633645 2.944092 4.798079 7.479148 11.119295 15.753713 21.954616
2025-12-07 1.294517 2.588777 4.538019 7.491898 11.653185 17.107324 24.582343
2025-12-14 0.949736 2.143301 4.071951 7.146201 11.647626 17.725391 26.257948
2025-12-21 0.702243 1.796786 3.694806 6.870963 11.692043 18.379659 27.972355
2025-12-28 0.613298 1.719142 3.734571 7.220607 12.639850 20.290522 31.416947
2026-01-04 0.557352 1.693283 3.854116 7.696693 13.788610 22.512473 35.340895
2026-01-11 0.499258 1.648210 3.930240 8.100543 14.838807 24.620749 39.156801
2026-01-18 0.411001 1.510516 3.816060 8.172193 15.373040 25.996816 41.979510
2026-01-25 0.310692 1.313860 3.566344 7.998963 15.528387 26.849960 44.128119
2026-02-01 0.230317 1.136933 3.325171 7.813352 15.646001 27.644109 46.209689
2026-02-08 0.173177 1.000838 3.144056 7.713943 15.889164 28.623469 48.572897
2026-02-15 0.129334 0.884190 2.983598 7.633693 16.152279 29.633052 50.997120
2026-02-22 0.113894 0.865551 3.048340 7.992524 17.175023 31.838487 55.229577
2026-03-01 0.087504 0.785602 2.949698 8.015852 17.614125 33.142023 58.144681
2026-03-08 0.055585 0.649650 2.678645 7.657672 17.357128 33.332349 59.385739
2026-03-15 0.034663 0.542272 2.455499 7.370764 17.202328 33.668454 60.841284
2026-03-22 0.030544 0.539274 2.531752 7.740194 18.261032 35.990461 65.374536
2026-03-29 0.028912 0.554163 2.663994 8.241716 19.580084 38.762892 70.643636
2026-04-05 0.026126 0.557289 2.760186 8.666606 20.767997 41.342124 75.651840